Bet Australia » Collingwood

Collingwood’s odds for a top 4 finish in 2013 look to be off the mark

admin — Mon, 13 May 2013 01:18:44 +0000

Another defeat for Collingwood against Fremantle has pushed the Pies close to being removed from the top 8, and talk of a Top 4 finish looks optimistic at best.

Collingwood have faced four teams in the top eight of the ladder in 2013, and have been smashed by three of them (Fremantle, Essendon and Hawthorn). Consequently, the Pies odds for the Premiership have drifted out to $11.00 with Sportsbet.com.au and that price looks skinny.

Collingwood play Geelong at the MCG this Saturday and the Cats are red hot favourites to win at $1.38 and further dent the Magpies 2013 AFL chances. By Sunday morning they just might be down to 10th or 11th and really up against making the Top 8, never mind the Top 4.

Latest AFL Premiership odds:
Hawthorn $3.25
Geelong $3.75
Sydney $7.00

Betting odds suggest that Collingwood are past their best…

admin — Wed, 18 Apr 2012 02:21:41 +0000

Collingwood are now only 4th favourites to win the 2012 AFL Premiership crown at odds of $6.50 with Sportsbet.

And some pundits are suggesting that they may not even make the top 8!

Cox Plate betting clues at Moonee

admin — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 20:22:23 +0000

The most intriguing horse racing betting market of the weekend is still the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes at Moonee Valley – which can show us the way to the Cox Plate winner if history is anything to go by.

With crucial AFL finals games also on the calendar the Pom de Turf is feeling a bit flustered with excitement. Nothing for it but to lazily stretch and stick my neck out.

Just briefly, is it just me who finds the name ‘Moonee Valley’ amusing? If anyone can enlighten me on the real (and no doubt thoroughly serious) story behind the course’s title, please feel free to leave a comment.

Anyway, first to the aforementioned $500,000 Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes, which is a group 2 1,600m affair. Like quite a few races at this time of year, its significant not just because of the strong field, but because it normally provides clues as to which horses could stand out in certain headliners later in the season. In this case, the Cox Plate.

El Segundo, appearing tomorrow, won both this race and the Plate in 2007 and has so far been looking good. As a result he’s well in the betting and is the 5.50 third favourite with Betfair.

Second favourite at the moment is Mic Mac, on 4.00 with the same bookmaker and who I discussed in depth yesterday. He’s got seven wins from eight starts but faces his toughest test yet on Saturday, and his only loss came at his only previous attempt at this distance.

Leading the betting is Whobegotyou, who is on 2.60 with the same bookmaker, has a great record on this course and is known for strong finishes at this distance. However, this price makes El Segundo’s 5.50 look like a much better shot and that’s who I’d recommend for the win. As an outside bet, the obvious candidate is Singapore star Jolie’s Shinju on 9.00 with Betfair.

On to the AFL week two finals now and on Saturday Adelaide take on Collingwood, with the former having the better recent head-to-head record for this one, and they have also had two extra days rest. However, it’s tricky to find good value – 1.76 with Betfair on Adelaide is probably your best shot.

Here’s hoping last weekend’s tipping was not just a one-off. Enjoy Saturday turf fans.