Well as for Liverpool, they have no chance, do they?

Lets take a look at each team’s odds and we’ll recommend where your hard earned / won dollars should be going on.

Manchester City – currently the bookies favourites at stingy odds of $3.20. Whilst City have the best team on paper, they seem a little uncertain of their best starting 11. We can’t see City winning the Premier League this season, and the way they were swept aside by Bayern Munich highlights the huge gulf in class between them and the best teams in Europe. Don’t back City.

Chelsea – second favourites available at $4.00, are more likely to win the EPL than City. True, Mourinho doesn’t really have a reliable strike partnership, however Torres is looking better and with a huge wealth of attacking midfielders (Hazard, Mata, Oscar, Willian, Lampard) at the Special One’s disposal, we can see Chelsea winning the EPL. Back Chelsea.

Arsenal – third favourites at odds of $6.00, largely thanks to their remarkable turn around since the signing of Mesut Ozil. However, it is unlikely that a team can win the EPL based on the performances of just one player, so we think backing Arsenal is not a good bet. There is little point backing them each way, as their odds aren’t big enough for a decent return.

Manchester United – fourth favourites at odds of $7.00. being as ‘short’ as 7.00 when you’ve already lost 3 games is testament to United’s pedigree as winners. No-one would be surprised at all if David Moyes’ men put together a string of results that saw them climb up the table and claim the title. Apart from me that is. Having publically stated that they need 3 or 4 world class players, Moyes seems to be aiming for the 2014 / 2015 season, and United fans can consider this season as a development season. My tip here is to back United to win no trophies at odds of $1.53 (note the Community Shield doesn’t count)

Liverpool – available at odds of $8.00, if you are thinking of backing the Anfield outfit, don’t. True they have started well, however will soon fade and we can’t see them finishing in the top 4. Don’t back Liverpool.

Tottenham – available at odds of $13.00, now this is a bet worth making, albeit an Each Way one. Tottenham have a superb squad, right up their with the likes of City and Chelsea in terms of quality. Putting aside the blip of being Hammered by Sam Allardyce’s team last weekend (see what I did there?) Spurs are a cracking each way bet to win the EPL.

No. In fact if anything my opinion that there has never been a better time to back Manchester United has strengthened, and it is nice to see United drifting so far from odds of $4.00 or $4.50 to $5.50 with Sportsbet. That is a cracking price.

Here is my forecast for the EPL finishing positions come May 2014.

1st – Manchester United. Moyes will have worked out his best starting 11 by mid Oct, and Kagawa will be a regular starter along with Zaha. Young will be dropped to the bench and Tom Cleverly will probably drift out of the squad completely. United will buy a big name in January, possibly Herrera or Barkley or the hotly fancied Julian Draxler. Backing United now at odds of $5.50 is an awesome bet.

2nd – Chelsea. My early season tip to win the Premier League, I actually think Chelsea will finish a close second. Jose still hasn’t a clue what his best team is, and the dropping of Torres (plus the loaning of Lukaku) for a clearly unfit Samuel Eto’o has to rank amongst The Special One’s most bizarre decisions. Eto’o who had the goal getting sharpness drilled out of him at Inter (under Mourinho) in favour of a more defensive role, has basically been on holiday for 2 years in Russia. Chelsea are bet priced at odds of $4.00 with Sportsbet.

3rd – Tottenham. Controversial! Tottenham are building an awesome squad with the oddles of cash they received for Gareth Bale, and I don’t think they are finished spending yet. AVB is still working out his best team, but unlike Jose, is making logical decisions. I can see Spurs rising to the challenge and finishing in the top 3 for the first time for many many years. Available at odds of $4.00 on the handicap betting (Spurs +16) we’ve invested heavily on them.

4th – Manchester City. Whilst City looked like world beaters against Man Utd on Sunday, they were helped by one of the most lacklustre performances United have ever put in…well since City won 6-1 at Old Trafford anyway. Pelligrini will have a hard job keeping his 98 strikers happy and is bound to start tinkering. For every minute Fernandinho spends on the pitch, City should drift a point in the betting, and I simply cannot agree with Sportsbet that they are $2.75 favourites.

5th – Arsenal. Sorry Gooners but despite the resurgence of Aaron Ramsey and the acquisition of the frankly awesome Mesut Ozil Arsenal won’t quite have the good to claim a spot in the Top 4. Which for Gunners fans won’t be a bad thing. A season without Champions League football will undoubtedly see an influx of big name signings as Arsenal (probably not under Wenger) build a new team. I’d be backing a return for Fabregas and possibly for Ian Wright and Dennis Bergkamp….

After the top 5, its anyone’s game, Liverpool and Everton will be up there, as might Newcastle, Villa or frankly anyone. One team that won’t be is Sunderland. With Roberto Di Matteo hot favourite to take over from Di Canio, even at this early stage of the season, I cannot see Sunderland surviving, and their 29 new Italian players had better prepare for life in the Championship.

Here are our top 5 tips for this week. You can read our full list of tips on our fabulous EPL Week 4 Odds page

Sunday 15th September 00:00

Stoke City v Manchester City

Stoke are only a couple of places below Man City and are a huge price of $6.00 and we think that is a great price that we are diving right into.

Sunderland v Arsenal

Arsenal will batter Sunderland, it will be a minor miracle if Sunderland get more than 30% possession. We are tipping Arsenal 3-0 at super odds of $12.00

Tottenham v Norwich

There is no value in backing Spurs at odds of $1.44, but the way Norwich play and the fact that Spurs haven’t exactly looked like a team yet, we fancy Norwich to win at lovely odds of $7.50

Monday 16th September 02:30

Everton v Chelsea

No Fellaini + Unable to play Lukaku = Everton getting easily beaten. Its Chelsea 2-0 for us at attractive odds of $10.00.

And finally….

Tuesday 17th September 05:00

Swansea v Liverpool

Liverpool will be too strong for a struggling Swansea and will win this game. Better than even money odds of $2.15 need taking….it pains me to say….