Here are our Top 5 picks for NFL Week 7

Here are 3 of our Top Picks, we are waiting for Sportsbet to add the odds for a few missing games before we complete our picks.

Monday 21st Oct 2013

St Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers

We like the look of the Panthers (2-3) at their home stadium against the Rams (3-3). Panthers have a good defense, ranked 3rd this season, whereas the Ram’s offence is ranked a lowly 30th. Panthers offense ranks 21st against the 22nd ranked defense of the Rams, so it looks to me like Panthers have the clear edge and should win by more than a TD.

The Rams won the most recent encounter between the teams winning 20-10 back in 2010, the Panthers won the previous 2 games.

We are tipping Panthers -5.0 at odds of $1.92.

New England Patriots at New York Jets

This game intrigues us, the Patriots (5-1) are clear favourites over the Jets (3-3), despite the Jets having home field advantage, but we don’t think the game is a clear cut as that. The Patriots have the season’s 14th best defense and 15th best offense so are hardly setting the NFL alight, whereas the Jets have the season’s 4th best defense, with an offense ranked 20th. We can see New England finding it very tough to score against the Jets.

Recent game history sees the Patriots winning the last 3 encounters, but 2 were very close affairs (13-10 in 2013, 49-19 and 29-26 in 2012).

Our tip is therefore New York Jets +4.5 at odds of $1.92.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers

We don’t disagree with the Packers (3-2) being favourites in this game, however we do think the Line is too big and favours the Browns (3-3). Green Bay have the season’s 2nd best offense coupled with an average defense (18th). Cleveland have a good defense (7th) and a slightly below average offense (24th), so the game should come down to how effective the Packers QB can pressurise the Brown’s defensive line up.

Recent games between the two see the Browns winning the last 3 encounters, so they’ll get a warm fuzzy feeling from that.

Our tip is Browns + 10.5 at odds of $1.89, as surely 10.5 points in such a game is far too big a handicap line?

Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins

We aren’t sure how the Redskins (1-4) are $1.75 favourites over the Bears (4-2) but that’s what tips are for to highlight the clear advantages to the punter. Chicago with the league’s 11th best offense and 20th best defense, match up to Washington’s 4th best offense and 28th best defense. But that 4th ranked offense is a massive red herring. A herring so big, if it were ever sighted in the ocean, Google Maps would record it as a new continental land mass. Whilst the Redskins might move the ball well, they score very few points, so we are with the Bears for this game, in a big way.

In the last 3 games between these two teams, the Bears have won the most recent in August 2012 (33-31) and the Redskins won the previous two (17-14 in 2010 and 24-16 in 2007).

Our tip is Bears at odds of $2.14, there is little point reducing your odds to $1.92 to take Bears +1.5 as we think the Bears will win comfortably anyway.

Our final tip for this week is:

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Both teams are 3-3 for the season, but the Eagles have a much stronger offensive ranking, with the league’s 3rd bet offense, defensively though they are all over the place with a poor 32nd ranked defense. The Cowboys have almost nothing to shout about with the 13th ranked offense and 30th ranked defense.

The last 3 games shows Dallas winning two (38-33 and 38-23 both in 2012) and Philly winning in 2011 (20-07).

Our tip is Eagles – 3 at odds of $2.01. They should win by more than 3 points so are worth backing on the Line, not outright for the odds boost.

Our full guide to NFL Week 7 odds lists all matches, head to head, line and Over/Under bets.

Friday 27th Sept 2013 10:25

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams

The 49ers are clear favourites priced at just $1.65 to win. However our tip is to back the 49ers on the handicap (line) at -3.0 at odds of $1.92. The 49ers will win by more than 3 points, thus you should boost your return by backing them on the handicap.

Monday 30th Sept 2013 03:00

New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs

The Giants got battered by the Panthers in their last game suffering an embarrassing 0-38 loss, so we are tipping the Chiefs -4.0 on the line bet to beat the Giants at odds of $1.92.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings (Wembley Stadium game)

With the Vikings surrendering home field advantage in favour of a money spinning trip to Europe, the Steelers are rightly favourites however we suggest a bet on Over 42.0 points at odds of $1.92 is a great bet with both sides expected to put on a show for the UK audience.

Monday 30th Sept 2013 06:25

Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers

This is expected be a close game, with the Cowboys slight favourites $1.84, however our pick is a value bet on Chargers outright at odds of $2.01 as home field advantage should count for at least a touchdown.

Washington Redskins at Oakland Raiders

The Redskins are favourites here and but we can’t see why as the Redskins have a 0-3 record and have looked poor this season. We are betting on the Raiders at odds of $2.25.

Our full guide to NFL Week 4 odds lists all matches, head to head, line and Over/Under bets.