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	<title>Bet Australia &#187; NFL Top Picks</title>
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		<title>NFL 2013 / 2014 Week 8 Picks</title>
		<link>http://www.bet-au.com/blog/nfl-2013-2014-week-8-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bet-au.com/blog/nfl-2013-2014-week-8-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Oct 2013 14:50:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[HS Jackson Jnr]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free NFL Tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL Best Odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL Top Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nfl week 8 odds]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bet-au.com/blog/?p=693</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is fair to say we had a pants week last week, only bringing in 2 tips from 5. The winners were Panthers -4.0 and Jets +4.5, the losers were Browns +10.5, Bears, and Eagles -3.0. This week will be a different story, and we&#8217;ve put a whole army of experts on it, and this [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is fair to say we had a pants week last week, only bringing in 2 tips from 5.  The winners were Panthers -4.0 and Jets +4.5, the losers were Browns +10.5, Bears, and Eagles -3.0.</p>
<p>This week will be a different story, and we&#8217;ve put a whole army of experts on it, and this is what they have come up with!<span id="more-693"></span></p>
<p>Here are our 5 Top Picks, now Sportsbet have added odds for Giants at Eagles.</p>
<p>Friday 25th October</p>
<p><b>Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers</b></p>
<p>The Panthers (3-3) are clear betting favourites over the hapless Buccaneers (0-6), but we are focusing our tip for this one on the Over / Under market.  The defensive rankings for each team are surprisingly high, the Panthers boast the 3rd best defense in the league, whilst the Buccaneers despite being 0-6 actually have the 13th best defense.  </p>
<p>Looking at the total points scored in each team&#8217;s games so far, the bookies will think this game will be a low scoring affair.  The Panthers 6 games so far have generated an average of 37 total points, and the Bucks games have generated an average of 36.5 total points.  However, basing your bet on the whole season to date is wrong, and you can gain an advantage on the bookies, thus:  In weeks 6 and 7 both teams have taken part in games that generated substantially more points than the listed Over/Under market (39.5).  Panthers games have generated 45 and 45 and Tampa&#8217;s games have generated 51 and 54.</p>
<p>What will probably happen is the Panthers will be cruising through the game, get into an unassailable lead and then ease off, allowing the Buccaneers to score a TD or two, thus ramping up the points.</p>
<p>Therefore our tip is <b>Over 39.5 points</b> at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b>. </p>
<p><b>San Francisco 49ers at Jacksonville Jaguars</b> (at Wembley Stadium, London, UK)</p>
<p>The 49ers (5-2) are obvious ultra short money favourites against the leagues worst team with the Jaguars on 0-7 with the worst offense and 28th ranked defense.  The 49ers have a reasonable mid ranked offense (17th) and a solid defense (8th).  For this reason the bookies have marked the Over/Under market at 40.0 points.</p>
<p>Given that the game is a showcase at Wembley and both teams will be out to get new fans, plus the fact that both teams have been involved in games that average significantly more than 40.0 points this season (49ers &#8211; 44 average total points, Jaguars &#8211; 43 average total points), plus they have a 50 and 42 average for the last two games.  So&#8230;</p>
<p>Our tip is <b>Over 40.0 points</b> at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b>. </p>
<p><b>New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles</b></p>
<p>Philadelphia (3-4) are rightly favourites against NYG (1-6) in this battle of the North East losing teams.  We&#8217;ve analysed the heck out of the trends and again, we are going to tip on the Over/Under market.  The Giants, for a team with a 1-6 record have a surprisingly well rated Offense (22nd) and Defense (19th), this matches up against the Eagles with the leagues 3rd bet Offense and the leagues worst defense.  This equals lots of points and indeed looking at the average game points between the teams s far this season, we can see that the Giants games average 43 points, and the Eagles average 54.  When the teams met in New York just a few weeks ago, the Eagles won 36 to 21, and with the better team having home advantage, we expect a more open game and more points to be scored.</p>
<p>Our tip is <b>Over 51.5 points</b> at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b>. </p>
<p><b>Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos</b></p>
<p>The Broncos (6-1) should return to winning ways against the Redskins (2-4), however like our previous two tips we are focusing on the Over/Under market.  The bookies have set the bar at 57.5 points, which looks like a lot, but it isn&#8217;t, we think it is too low.  Two really good offensive units meet two distinctly average defences. The game totals so far this season show that Washington games average 56 points and Broncos games average a massive 71 points.  In fact the Broncos have not been involved in a single game this season which has totalled less points than the Over/Under bar set here.</p>
<p>Our tip is <b>Over 57.5 points</b> at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b>.</p>
<p><b>Seattle Seahawks at St Louis Rams</b></p>
<p>The Seahawks (6-1) are massive favourites against the Rams (3-4) and that&#8217;s good for the Handicap Line betting opportunities.  Purely looking at results so far this season we can see that the following trends apply.</p>
<p>When Seattle win, half the time they win by more than 10.5 points.  Having won by 26, 28 and 12 as their biggest margins this season.</p>
<p>When the Rams lose they usually get pummelled. Having lost by 11, 36, 24 and 15 as their 4 losses this season.</p>
<p>So naturally we are going to tip <b>Seahawks -10.5</b> at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b>.</p>
<p>Our full guide to <a href="http://www.bet-au.com/us-sports-nfl-american-football-odds-2013.html">NFL Week 8 odds </a>lists all matches, head to head, line and Over/Under bets.</p>
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		<title>NFL 2013 / 2014 Week 3 Picks</title>
		<link>http://www.bet-au.com/blog/nfl-2013-2014-week-3-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bet-au.com/blog/nfl-2013-2014-week-3-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Sep 2013 13:37:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[HS Jackson Jnr]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL Best Odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL Top Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL Week 3 Odds]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bet-au.com/blog/?p=594</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[NFL Week 3 hits us this weekend, so we&#8217;ve analysed the published odds and picked out our Top 5 bets of the week. Friday 20th Sept 2013 10:25 Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles The Eagles are rightly -3.0 favourites at odds of $1.55 to win the game, and this is slikely to be a [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>NFL Week 3 hits us this weekend, so we&#8217;ve analysed the published odds and picked out our Top 5 bets of the week. <span id="more-594"></span></p>
<p>Friday 20th Sept 2013 10:25</p>
<p><b>Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles</b></p>
<p>The Eagles are rightly -3.0 favourites at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.55</span></b> to win the game, and this is slikely to be a high scoring game so we are tipping the Over 50.5 points market at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.95</span></b>, </p>
<p>Monday 23rd Sept 2013 03:00</p>
<p><b>Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens</b></p>
<p>The Texans are slight favourites for this game, but we can&#8217;t see it, so are recommending backing the Ravens at odds of  <b><span class="alink">$2.14</span></b>. If Ray Rice is Ok for this week, the Ravens should be favourites.</p>
<p>Monday 23rd Sept 2013 06:05</p>
<p><b>Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins</b></p>
<p>The Dolphins look too strong at home for Atlanta and are rightly favourites at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.83</span></b>, so we are taking them on the straight match up, as the tiny increase in price to odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.87</span></b> for Dolphins -1.0 isn&#8217;t worth the risk.</p>
<p>Monday 23rd Sept 2013 06:25</p>
<p><b>Jacksonville Jaguars at Seattle Seahawks</b></p>
<p>The Jaguars are expected to get pounded at the Seahawks and outright odds of just <b><span class="alink">$1.02</span></b> for Seattle show how dominant they are expected to be.  However, we can&#8217;t help thinking that a bet on Jacksonville + 19.5(yes 19.5) at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.92</span></b> is a knocking bet.</p>
<p>Tuesday 24th Sept 2013 10:40</p>
<p><b>Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos</b></p>
<p>Again the travelling team is destined for a hiding here, but we fancy Raiders +14.0 at odds of <b><span class="alink">$1.88</span></b> to keep us invested in the outcome of the game.</p>
<p>Our full guide to <a href="http://www.bet-au.com/us-sports-nfl-american-football-odds-2013.html">NFL Week 3 odds </a>lists all matches, head to head, line and Over/Under bets.</p>
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