2017 NRL Round 10 preview and expert tipsPosted on 10/05 by Joe Gann
Weekly Expert Betting Tips - Join our free mailing listNRL Round 10 expert tips and best bets - 2017
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Canterbury Bulldogs v Nth Queensland Cowboys betting
|Nth Queensland Cowboys|
Despite a mixed opening to the season, the Bulldogs have managed to claim the scalps of both the Broncos and Raiders so far - proof that they can mix it with the best in the land. Despite losing James Graham and Josh Reynolds to injury in Round 9, the Dogs battled out a marvellous win against the Raiders, with Aiden Tolman and Will Hopate delivering outstanding contributions.
Matt Frawley has been a valuable addition since his introduction, adding a crucial balance to the creative hub of the side. They still have the propensity for starting games slowly though; their tally of just 46 first half points so far, is 20 less than bottom-placed Newcastle. The remainder of this season promises to a fascinating period as the club prepare to clear salary cap space for a major upheaval next year.
The Cowboys have been struggling of late, with injuries taking its toll on the 2015 Premiers. Their proud home record has taken a battering this year - having previously won seventeen of their last twenty in Townsville, this season they are yet to win consecutive matches at home, with two 20 point reversals their equal worst since 2003. Three of their next four games come away from home, including the clash in Darwin which will see them pitted against the Eels once more.
News that Johnathan Thurston picked up a shoulder knock in the Anzac test just one game into his comeback will be a source of immense frustration; the Cowboys have lost three of the last four matches that have coincided with the skipper's absence. However, Paul Green's side will be buoyed by the possible return to action of Lachlan Coote, Gavin Cooper and Jake Granville. Coote may be deployed in the centres as teenage sensation Kalyn Ponga continues to excel at full-back.
|Bulldogs to win @ $1.60||$501 Bonus Bet*|
St George Illawarra Dragons v Cronulla Sharks betting
|St George Illawarra Dragons|
Josh Dugan will miss this one with after suffering a fractured cheekbone during the Kangaroos victory over the Kiwis last weekend. With Gareth Widdop still ruled out with a knee injury, the Dragons are now without their two marquee names for a crucial run of games. The Red V were blown away by an irrepressible Melbourne Storm last time out and even the presence of this season's outstanding performer Widdop wouldn't have prevented the resounding loss.
With a 6-3 record which has seen them amass thirty nine tries, compared to just fifty eight in the whole of 2016, the Dragons have made significant progress in this campaign so far. However, the loss of such important personnel during a crucial period may prove to be damaging.
The Sharks have been up and down this year - wins against Melbourne, Canberra and the Eels have been counteracted by defeats to the Dragons, Broncos and Titans as the reigning Premiers continue to seek consistency. Surprisingly, the Sharks have the worst completion rate in the comp and have also conceded the most penalties of any side.
James Segeyaro is still ruled out with a broken arm out until round 14, but Luke Lewis may return to the starting line-up.
|Sharks to win @ $1.35||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Wests Tigers v South Sydney Rabbitohs betting
|South Sydney Rabbitohs|
The Tigers' roster will be depleted further in the off-season with the news that prop Ava Seumanufagai has signed with the Sharks, adding to what has been a miserable period in the transfer market for the club. On the field, a woeful second half points differential of -86 highlights their habit of fading away in games a weakness that coach Ivan Cleary has identified as one of their main problems.
James Tedesco and Jamal Idris are both set to return to the side this week. Aaron Woods continues to be ruled out with a hamstring complaint, Tim Grant will return to take his place in the front row with David Nofoaluma on the sidelines with a serious knee injury.
The crushing loss to the Sea Eagles last time out will have done nothing to bolster morale at Redfern as the Rabbitohs continue to toil in 2017. With 225 points conceded, only Wests and Knights have a worse defence; the Bunnies are in danger of seeing their season peter out.
Down in thirteenth, they don't appear to share the potential to embark on a winning run necessary to challenge the top eight places that teams around them on the ladder have. With Adam Reynolds struggling to hit his usual heights, consequently, the Rabbitohs are a much poorer team; they are in dire need of his steadying influence.
|Tigers to win @ $2.00||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Penrith Panthers v New Zealand Warriors betting
|New Zealand Warriors|
Currently floundering in fifteenth place, the Panthers have endured a miserable campaign so far.
Amongst the mounting problems for the mountain men is their poor first half displays. They have scored a measly two first-half points in their last three matches; the last opening half try was scored against the Roosters back in Round six. This habit of opening games in a lethargic manner has led to the Panthers ruling themselves out of games within the first half on numerous occasions; a team in their predicament can ill afford to gift opponents with such an advantage.
The loss of last week's must-win fixture against the Broncos was surely the final nail in the coffin for their finals hopes; a hugely disappointing season looks over already. James Fisher-Harris should be back this week, while Josh Mansour remains out until round 12.
The Warriors' revival continues apace after an important win over the Roosters helped boost the New Zealanders to within touching distance of the play-off places. Prior to the representative round, the Kiwis were building up a head of steam that may be disrupted by an international break that came at the worst possible time to stymie the momentum that fantastic win over the Roosters had created.
This upturn in form has coincided with the introduction of Kieran Foran, tasked with implementing Kearney's game plan and freeing Johnson from the burden of sole creative responsibility. With Origin just around the corner, this is the time of year that the Warriors traditionally kick on and capitalise on representative obligations weakening the roster options at other clubs.
Yet to win away from Mt Smart, this may be their best chance so far.
|Warriors to win @ $2.00||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Melbourne Storm v Gold Coast Titans betting
|Gold Coast Titans|
As the fortunes of title rivals fluctuate, Storm remain the one constant in the competition. The win in Wollongong saw the Storm record five away wins in a row at the start of the year for the first time in club history.
Irresistible on the Dragons home turf, a close to perfect first half performance saw the Minor Premiers pummel the home side into submission before a late Cooper Cronk sin-binning helped the Dragons to add a degree of respectability to the scoreboard. With an 8-1 record so far, the Victorians are currently four points clear after nine rounds; only one team has managed to achieve that feat in NRL history – Melbourne Storm in 2012.
The records continue to tumble at the hands of Cameron Smith – his five conversions against the Dragons took his tally to a career high of 943 - making him the most prolific goalkicker in Premiership history. There are a number of storm clouds gathering that may encourage the chasing pack, however. A two-match ban has been handed down by the club to Jesse Bromwich who was involved in a drugs scandal after the Anzac test;
Nelson Asofa-Solomona will be out until round 13 with a broken hand and Christian Welch has been ruled out for the season following an ACL injury leaving limited front row options. Despite the Storm's superb recent form, this could be a tricky game for them.
The Titans are one club who may benefit more than most from this week's international break; it is a much-needed respite from the unremitting league competition that may aid the recuperation of an exhaustive casualty list. Jarryd Hayne has given his biggest hint yet that he will remain a Titan amid speculation surrounding his future - perfect timing for the club as they attempt to get their season back on track.
Switched to the centres against Knights last time out, the Hayne plane came up with a magnificent performance. Striking up a dynamic partnership with Ashley Taylor, his two tries served as a timely reminder of his immense talent with Origin around the corner, sending a message to NSW coach Laurie Daly that he is ready for a return to representative football.
For a team that is yet to field a full-strength side, the Titans have coped remarkably well and will be confident of achieving improved results from here on. They have been rocked by the news of Kevin Proctor's involvement in the drugs scandal that has hit the sport this week. The co-captain has stepped down from his leadership role in the wake of the incident and misses this game against his old side on the back of a suspension imposed by the club.
Jarrod Wallace and Agnatius Paasi may return to bolster the ranks.
|Storm to win @ $1.35||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Manly Sea Eagles v Brisbane Broncos betting
|Manly Sea Eagles|
The Sea Eagles' terrific away form continues – they have now racked up four consecutive away wins at the start of the season for the first time in 20 years. Their superior differential has helped to propel the Brookvale club to the head of the queue of teams with ten points to claim sixth position.
A dominant performance in Round nine, saw the Silvertails carve the Rabbitohs open at will; Akuila Uate had a field day, crossing the whitewash four times as the Sea Eagles pulverised the Rabbitohs left edge. They are the competition's joint top try-scorers thanks in part to that rout of the Rabbitohs, and the partnership between Blake Green and Daly Cherry-Evans in the halves is blossoming.
A clean bill of health for Trent Barrett's men together with a need to put on a display in front of a partisan home crowd may swing this the way of the Sea Eagles.
A remorseless display saw the Broncos put the Panthers to the sword in Round nine. With Kodi Nikorima instrumental in the Broncos' best efforts, the loss of Ben Hunt has been mitigated somewhat. A 6-3 win/loss ratio has been derived from an impressive opening to the campaign – Brisbane make more run metres than any other teams and with an average of 1.8 per game, make the least mistakes.
They are handily placed in fourth as they brace themselves for the negative impact that Origin brings to a club that provides more participants than most. The club achieved an off-field victory against rivals the Melbourne Storm this week as they managed to persuade Anthony Milford to resist the overtures of the Minor Premiers despite the lure of a monster $1.2M contract.
With Ben Hunt's move the Dragons confirmed, the loss of Milford would have been devastating blow, and the retention of Milford was an absolute priority for the club.
The injured trio of Benji Marshall, Ben Hunt and James Roberts will all sit this one out.
|Sea Eagles to win @ $2.39||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Newcastle Knights v Canberra Raiders betting
If effort was rewarded by points, the Knights would be flying high on the ladder now. Unfortunately, endeavour alone is not enough, and the plaudits they have taken are no consolation when measured against this year's results.
Nevertheless, the narrow losses the Knights have incurred this year at the hands of top eight teams the Sharks and Warriors, and a Round two win over the Titans indicate that this is a team on the up. A solid interest in James Graham, whose potential acquisition could be a defining moment for the ambition of the club and the shrewd investment of Kalyn Ponga, whose stock rises by the week, suggest the Knights may be an entirely different proposition in the near future.
The Raiders are not delivering on a regular enough basis and are in danger of severe underachievement if current form persists. The main gripe with an immensely talented group is an inability to ground out a result in tight games. They have now lost four games by a converted try or less, margins that would have seen the Green Machine challenging at the summit rather than tenth place where they currently reside.
Heavily reliant on Joey Leilua and Jordan Rapana, almost 40% of the Raiders tries have materialised down that right side. Josh Papalii and Shannon Boyd missing are missing this week, but giant prop Dave Taylor should be back in the fold.
|Raiders to win @ $1.21||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Sydney Roosters v Parramatta Eels betting
The Roosters have twice suffered defeat by the smallest of margins, against the Sea Eagles and Warriors, had those results been more favourable, the tricolours would be presiding over an 8/1 record and be sharing top spot on the ladder. At times, they look like the stand-out team in the competition, yet they struggle to turn the periods of brilliance into sustained displays. Shaun Kenny-Dowell's drugs arrest compounded a dark week for the sport and has thrown a huge question mark over his future at the club.
Isaac Liu will miss the next three weeks with a foot injury which saw the Samoan withdraw from the Pacific Test match on Saturday. Kenny-Dowell's likely absence could open the door for Latrell Mitchell. Jason Taylor has made a return to the club this week; the former Wests coach will assume the assistant coach duties in the wake of Justin Holbrook's move to take up the reins at St Helens in the Super League.
The big news for the Eels this week is that Bevan French has an excellent chance of returning to the line-up to face the Roosters on Sunday. The opportunity to install French at full-back will lead to the restoration of the Corey Norman/Clint Gutherson halves combination that was central to the Eels strong start to the year.
Another side who were in fine fettle leading into representative week, the blue and gold will be looking to resume from where they left off after a three-game winning streak culminated in a resounding victory up in Townsville.
A win over cross City rivals here will be just what they need as they look to continue their resurgence and consolidate their top eight place.
|Eels to win @ $1.21||$501 Bonus Bet*|
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