2017 NRL Round 11 preview and expert tipsPosted on 17/05 by Joe Gann
Weekly Expert Betting Tips - Join our free mailing listNRL Round 11 expert tips and best bets - 2017
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Cronulla Sharks v Nth Queensland Cowboys betting
|Nth Queensland Cowboys|
Week 11 begins with a showdown between the 2015 and 2016 Premiers at Southern Cross Group Stadium. Last week, the Sharks emerged victorious in a fierce local derby against the Dragons and simultaneously gained revenge for the Round 3 defeat to the same opponents.
Despite being outplayed in most areas of the game, Cronulla showed the same Champion mindset that drove them to Premiership glory back in October. It was a workmanlike display, but coach Shane Flanagan will be pleased with a victory the like of which has proved elusive at this venue in recent times; the Sharks have recorded just two wins at the UOW Jubilee Oval this millennium.
Friday’s success saw the reigning Premiers leapfrog the Dragons into second place, where they sit two points adrift of last year’s vanquished Grand Final opponents the Melbourne Storm.
The return of key duo Lachlan Coote and Jake Granville helped the Cowboys return to winning ways last week, but it was star man Michael Morgan who, with four assists to go with a try of his own, proved his match-winning credentials. Paul Green’s men showed signs that they are finally learning how to perform without the guiding hand of skipper Johnathan Thurston.
The levels of enthusiasm and team spirit helped to gradually establish the Cowboys in the game as a beefed-up pack outmuscled an under-par Bulldogs outfit. Giant back-rower Coen Hess added to his growing reputation, bagging a brace to make it 12 tries in 19 matches and the try-scoring machine may have done enough to earn an Origin call-up for Kevin Walters’ side.
|Sharks to win @ $1.50||$501 Bonus Bet*|
New Zealand Warriors v St George Illawarra Dragons betting
|New Zealand Warriors|
|St George Illawarra Dragons|
The Warriors appeared to be heading comfortably to a first away win of the season at Pepper Stadium last week as they reached half-time with a twenty-two point cushion. However, a diabolical second half showing, in which the Panthers chalked up 30 unanswered points was enough to send the Kiwis home battered and humiliated.
Still strangely erratic, the Aucklanders possess unparalleled attacking flair combined with a catastrophic tendency to self-destruct. The second half collapse was the worst in club history and boss Stephen Kearney will have a difficult job in restoring confidence to a shattered side this week.
The Dragons delivered a spirited performance in the face of adversity last week in a hard-fought match against the Sharks. The loss of key personnel ultimately proved too big an obstacle for the Red V as the Sharks reclaimed second place. Outstanding performances from the big men Paul Vaughan and Russell Packer was almost enough to provide the Dragons with a victory that few people could have begrudged them, but a late Sosaia Feki try snatched the game for the Sharks at the death.
Despite boasting superior stats – the Dragons had a better completion rate, made more metres, produced more offloads, conceded fewer penalties and made fewer tackles – they managed to walk away from the game empty handed and no doubt hugely frustrated.
|Dragons to win @ $2.67||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Brisbane Broncos v Wests Tigers betting
Currently on a run of five consecutive victories, the Broncos are the competition’s form side. Friday’s game was billed as a potential Origin audition for Anthony Milford and Daly Cherry- Evans, but it was another halfback that stole the show. Kori Nikorima eclipsed both of the Maroons’ hopefuls with an inspired performance which sparked the Brisbane fightback from fourteen points down.
It has been a consistent year for Wayne Bennett’s men so far, and they lie in fourth spot just two points from the summit, ideally placed to launch a title charge in the latter part of the year. The Broncos are turning the Suncorp into a fortress this season, with the golden point defeat to the Cowboys the only blemish on their record so far, and they will be overwhelming favourites against a lacklustre Tigers here.
For Wests, fundamental mistakes contributed to their downfall yet again in their heavy loss to the Rabbitohs. The poor performance emphasises the scale of the task that lies before Ivan Cleary as he continues with his plans to rebuild the club in his own style. The distraction of Mitchell Moses’ protracted transfer to the Eels is not helping matters at Concord and his on-field display at the weekend did nothing to suggest that he is in the right mental condition to warrant selection.
There are plenty of issues to be addressed by Cleary, and a wooden spoon place is a real threat unless there is a significant turnaround at the club.
|Broncos to win @ $1.19||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Gold Coast Titans v Manly Sea Eagles betting
|Gold Coast Titans|
|Manly Sea Eagles|
The Titans achieved the biggest upset of the indigenous round as they shocked table-toppers Melbourne Storm in a pulsating encounter in the Suncorp double-header. The win was all the more remarkable considering the squad were down to the bare bones; the decimated roster had just one fit player remaining on the bench.
Incredibly, despite their lowly league position, the Titans are the highest points scorers in the competition with a staggering 248. The 38 points they amassed against the most feared defensive unit in the land is an example of the firepower at their disposal, and if they receive some richly deserved fortune in the casualty department, the Titans will be a force to be reckoned with in the second half of the season.
The Sea Eagles blew a fourteen point lead last weekend; a bright start in which all of their points were scored within the first 10 minutes, fizzled out disappointingly as Brisbane mounted a second-half fightback. A dismal night was made even worse by the injury sustained by Tom Trbojevic; the young fullback may miss the rest of the year with knee and ankle problems he picked up at the Suncorp.
The Sea Eagles will be looking to continue their superb away form that has seen them collect four victories on the road so far.
|Titans to win @ $1.65||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Parramatta Eels v Canberra Raiders betting
A trouncing at the hands of the Roosters last week was exacerbated by news that Corey Norman may be sidelined until Round 17 with a medial ligament tear. The setback is a blow to the Parramatta club's top eight hopes and puts paid to Norman's Origin game one aspirations.
A poor showing by the forwards enabled the Roosters to dominate proceedings last week; the Parramatta pack were outrun by almost 700 metres and were no match for the physicality of the Roosters. It was an unexpectedly meek showing by the Eels who had been in decent form lately, and they will be looking for a return to winning ways against a struggling Canberra side.
The arrival of Mitchell Moses will undoubtedly help the club as the drawn-out saga of the playmaker's release from the Tigers was finally concluded on Tuesday; the star signing is on course to make his eagerly anticipated debut at ANZ this Saturday.
Canberra offered up a second-rate display at Newcastle at the weekend and, consequently, made it three losses in a row. The tactic of the Knights to neutralise the danger posed by the back three of the Raiders may be a blueprint that other coaches adopt as the season progresses. The Raiders are wallowing in tenth position on the ladder from the opening ten rounds, a predicament that was hard to foresee coming into the new campaign.
The bad news keeps coming this week, with the club issued with a fine for salary cap breaches for the second year in a row.
|Eels to win @ $2.40||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Newcastle Knights v Penrith Panthers betting
Newcastle recorded a wonderful victory of their own last week as the Novocastrians put paid to the Raiders in fine style. A staunch defensive performance saw the Knights repel five consecutive sets from one of the competition's most devastating attacking teams.
Many sides would have folded under the onslaught, but the resolve of the Knights was there for all to see. After ten rounds, they have double the tally of victories that they managed in 2016; the fourteen-point winning margin was their biggest since round four in 2015.
With Trent Hodkinson still out of favour, coach Nathan Brown retains his commitment to youth, placing his faith in a young halves combination of Brock Lamb and Jaelen Feeney and it is highly doubtful that the club captain will regain his place in the starting line-up this week.
The Panthers' exhilarating comeback win against the Warriors may just be the result they need to reignite what has been a drab campaign so far. A miraculous second-half revival saw the mountain men belatedly unleash their potential on a shell-shocked Auckland side. The scale of this Jekyll and Hyde performance was underlined by the fact that the Penrith side finished the first half 28-6 down as they made their way to the dressing room with the sound of the home fans' displeasure ringing in their ears.
A magnificent second-period turnaround saw the Panthers power their way to victory with thirty unanswered points and put a halt to a five-game losing sequence.
|Knights to win @ $3.70||$501 Bonus Bet*|
Canterbury Bulldogs v Sydney Roosters betting
Canterbury looked a shadow of their former selves as they went down to the Cowboys last week. The representative round appeared to have done them no favours as they produced one of their most insipid performances of the year so far.
Despite the loss of kingpin Josh Reynolds, the Bulldogs looked to be in good shape coming off the back of four wins from five, but an anaemic start handed the initiative to a Cowboys side that coped with the loss of their own playmaking star Johnathan Thurston far more comfortably.
It was a disappointing display punctuated with indecision and poor execution at vital stages, particularly their fifth tackle options. Will Hopoate's decision to perform a mid-season U-turn regarding his withdrawal from Sunday matches will lift spirits at Belmore as the Doggies get ready for a big City derby this week - one which offers the chance of redemption for the Round two loss at the hands of the Tricolours.
The Roosters' demolition job on the Eels last week shed a positive light on a recent sticky patch that has seen the Bondi club win three and lose three of their last six matches. The 48-18 drubbing they handed out to the Blue and Golds was enough to claim a top four place, a position they will be aiming to occupy at the end of the campaign.
In a solid eighty-minute display, the Roosters consolidated their superiority in the second half and their willingness to kill their opponents off was an aspect of the match that particularly impressed coach Trent Robinson.
|Roosters to win @ $1.48||$501 Bonus Bet*|
South Sydney Rabbitohs v Melbourne Storm betting
|South Sydney Rabbitohs|
The Rabbitohs produced their most dynamic display so far last week as the fired-up Bunnies outfit tore the Tigers apart. Robbie Farrah was central to the outcome with a dominant kicking game, assisted by Sam Burgess who led by example with his two tries. Rabbitohs' chief Michael Mcguire made several changes to his line-up with Cody Walker slotting in at full-back, John Sutton joining the halves, and Farrah starting the game.
The positional tinkering paid off with a far more energetic and hungry display than has been offered up of late. They will need to replicate the same level of exuberance this week as they face a wounded Melbourne team still smarting from last week's surprising loss in Brisbane
The late implosion at the Suncorp on Saturday provoked a furious response from Storm boss Craig Bellamy. Sifting through the wreckage of a startling 38-36 reversal, the Melbourne coach intimated that heads might roll in preparation for this weekend's trip to Sydney. Accusing some players of having an attitude problem, he went on to describe the team's defensive display as one of the poorest he has experienced at the club.
There were few positives to take from the game, other than the performance of Cameron Munster who is finding his feet in the role of five-eighths after just three games in his new position. The attacking showing was as good as it has been this season with the Minor Premiers running in six tries, but they were let down by uncharacteristically brittle defensive play. It is unthinkable that Bellamy will allow his high standards to drop to such levels again this week.
|Storm to win @ $1.38||$501 Bonus Bet*|
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