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EPL Round 16 betting preview, latest odds and expert tips

Posted on 07/12 by Joe Gann

EPL Round 16 betting preview, latest odds and expert tips
Beaten soundly last week at Stoke, Man City are $1.30 favourites to win against Swansea in Round 16

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Another weekend of Premiership action saw yet another smattering of upsets; with Stoke, Newcastle and Bournemouth grabbing the headlines with against-the-odds victories. The topsy-turvy nature of the Premier League football we’ve witnessed so far has ensured that this one of the most open Championship races for years.

Some intriguing fixtures coming up; most notably Leicester City v Chelsea and Bournemouth v Manchester United.

It’s been the season of the underdog so far; where does the best value lie this week?

Norwich ($2.87) v Everton ($2.50)
With Romelu Lukaku, Gerard Delafeu, Ross Barkley, and John Stones continuing their impressive development, boss Roberto Martinez was this week compelled to suggest that he has the best collection of young prospects in Europe. Could now be the time for the Goodison Park outfit to seriously compete for a place in next season’s Champions League?

A huge incentive for players, it could be imperative if they are to satisfy the ambitions of the talented youngsters at the club. However, they will have to eradicate the kind of fragility which saw them twice squander the lead at Bournemouth recently.

As the limelight has understandably been directed upon Jamie Vardy this season, the performances of Lukaku have gone slightly unnoticed. He is in imperious form at the minute, with six goals in five games, 10 in the league in total. Often deployed as a lone striker, he has missed just 41 minutes of first-team football this season and is a good bet at $5.00 for first goal.

West Ham ($2.37) v Stoke City ($3.00)
A well-deserved victory over Manchester City will have boosted the Potters going into this game and their away form is better than at the Brittania Stadium. With Manager Mark Hughes displaying a tactically astute approach which worked to perfection against City last week, an away win at $3.00 may be the way to go here.

Manchester City ($1.30) v Swansea City ($11.00)
City started the season like a house on fire, winning the first 5 games as they came flying out of the traps; but no away wins since Sep 12th has played a part in their title charge faltering of late. With West Ham and Liverpool both leaving Manchester with maximum points this season, a City home win is no longer a given. However, City have handed out drubbings to the likes of Newcastle and Bournemouth already at Eastlands and there doesn’t appear to be anything enticing about a price of $1.30.

Swansea are at $11.00 for the unlikely victory; although stranger things have happened already this season, it’s certainly proving to be a fruitful time to be taking these kinds of punts.

Bournemouth ($4.00) v Manchester United ($1.95)
United are at $1.95, but with 5 goalless draws in 9, they just don’t look like value here. With Wayne Rooney injured, the Red Devils are down to just Anthony Martial to lead the line, it would suggest that Louis Van Gaal will be forced into action in the January transfer market.

Eddie Howe described last week’s victory at Chelsea as the best in the club’s history. It was the first time a promoted side had won at Stamford Bridge since 2001 and enabled the Cherries to leap out of the bottom three at the expense of Sunderland. At $4.00, they could generate some interest.

Sunderland ($2.60) v Watford ($2.60)
Both evenly matched here at $2.60 for the win. Sunderland’s home form needs to improve if they are to avoid relegation yet again. Sunderland created some good chances ¬at Arsenal, but the absence of Jermain Defoe proved costly as they lacked a killer touch in front of goal. They’ll be looking to get back on track against a solid Watford team- up to 9th now, and the highest placed of the promoted sides. $3.30 for the draw might be a decent option.

Crystal Palace ($2.50) v Southampton ($2.80)
Palace are priced at $2.50 for the home win here and if they can manage to replicate the performance from the last appearance at Selhurst Park, that offering could be a steal. Southampton’s slightly longer price of $2.80 doesn’t represent good value given their terrible recent run.

Aston Villa ($6.50) v Arsenal ($1.57)
Last week’s score line slightly flattered Arsenal, with Sunderland creating a plethora of chances at the Emirates. Stuttering of late, due mainly to a mounting injury list, it would still be a huge upset if this one resulted in anything except an away win - with Arsenal as short a price as $1.53.

Liverpool ($1.40) v West Bromwich Albion ($9.00)
As Liverpool’s shock defeat last week proved, they are still a considerable distance from being the finished article. West Brom could be good value at $9.00 in what would be another shock in what has been a season full of them. With only 2 defeats in 12 for Liverpool under Klopp, the Newcastle slip up was setback in a run of decent results for the reds.

Martin Skirtel found himself drawing level with Jamie Carragher in number of own goals scored. They now share the unwanted record for finding the back of the net at the wrong end 7 times each.

Leicester City ($2.80) v Chelsea ($2.40)
It was Riyad Mahrez who stole the show with a match winning performance that saw him become the first Algerian to bag a Premiership hat trick. Jamie Vardy, for once overshadowed, saw his remarkable scoring streak come to a halt; he’ll be left ruing the chance he squandered to make it 12 top flight goals in a row when Lukasz Fabianski denied him in a one on one.

Currently riding high at the summit of the division - their recent excellent run of 5 wins from 6 making them the league’s in-form team - Leicester surprisingly don’t go into this home fixture as favourites. Can they continue their pursuit of a stunning title tilt?

For Chelsea, a torrid season hit a new low last week losing at home to Bournemouth, they have now lost 4 of the last 6.

Tottenham Hotspur ($1.30) v Newcastle United ($11.00)
Despite a priceless win last week, the Geordies will be unfancied to come away from White Hart Lane with all three points, Spurs are unbeaten in 14 now. Mauricio Pochettino’s side are well placed for a sustained attack on the top 4 this year and the betting reflects this (Spurs as short as $1.30), while the Magpies are $11.00 with Sportsbet.

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