2018 AFL Round 6 betting odds and tipsPosted on 26/04 by T J Dilfer
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AFL Round 6
Western Bulldogs v Carlton
With just one win between them, it is hard to ascertain who has the upper hand here, although the Blues’ battling performance in defeat to the West Coast is an obvious improvement on the 86-point loss to North Melbourne in the previous round, they are still winless in 2018. On the receiving end of 54- point defeat in Perth last week a flat Bulldogs performance ensured they went down to their fourth loss of the year; a particularly galling experience following gritty offerings against Essendon and Sydney in previous rounds. 1-4 for the campaign now for the struggling 2016 Premiers
Prediction – Bulldogs
Geelong v Sydney Swans
The Cats pulled off one of the shocks of the round with a strong 34-point win over Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval on Sunday. The victory was built on an often underrated defensive unit that smothered their opponents and enabled the Cats to pull away in the latter stages. It was a win made all the more impressive given the array of talent watching on: Tom Hawkins, Gary Ablett, Harry Taylor, Lachie Anderson and Nakia Cockatoo are all currently populating the treatment room, with Hawkins a last-minute withdrawal after experiencing back spasms. Following two underwhelming displays, the Swans will not be relishing an encounter against a buoyant Cats side fresh from a superb win in Adelaide. The Swans were widely tipped to triumph against a Crows side that has been hit by a crippling injury list last Friday. Despite a horror start to the match, the Swans were still in the contest up to the death, eventually edged out by 10 points. They face an uphill task this week at GMHBA Stadium; the Cats have lost only seven games on their own patch in the last decade.
Prediction – Geelong
North Melbourne v Port Adelaide
A performance full of commitment saw North Melbourne stun the Hawks on Sunday at Etihad Stadium. The Kangaroos flew out of the traps to build up a 35-point lead at quarter time, a margin they extended to a 57-point lead at half-time. The early gains paid off as they were made to hold off a desperate Hawks fight back as the game wore on. The 98-70 victory built upon last week’s trouncing of Carlton and it was a very different kind of win that required tenacity to break a four-game losing streak against the Hawks. This week they face an Adelaide outfit reeling from an upset of their own at the hands of Geelong. The Cats maintained their hoodoo over the Power and have now won 14 of their last 15 head-to-heads. With 52 inside 50s for the game reaping just seven goals, they had ample opportunities to win the game, and their profligacy will need to be addressed. After a bright opening to the campaign, successive defeats, inevitably raises questions over how much progress has been made since last season. They are set to embark on a gruelling schedule that takes in three states and an overseas trip in the next month.
Prediction – North Melbourne
GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions
A dull encounter at the Etihad sparked to life in the final 10 minutes as St Kilda mounted a comeback to shock the competition leaders and come away with a share of the points in the first draw of the 2018 season. The draw proved costly for the Giants who saw the West Coast leapfrog them to top spot on the ladder. They return to Spotless Stadium for the first time this year and will be confident of a return to winning ways against their Brisbane opponents. The Lions’ wretched year continues as State neighbours the Suns consigned them to a fifth consecutive defeat - the second time since 2015 that the Lions have started a season 0-5.
Prediction – GWS
Hawthorn v St Kilda
The Hawks will look to move on from last week’s setback at the hands of North Melbourne against the reinvigorated Saints at York Park on Saturday. A third-quarter fightback wasn’t enough to reel in the Roos, who held on for a 28-point victory and they were left to rue an awful first half that left them with a mountain to climb. Having been written off pre-game the Saints delivered the performance of their season, securing the first draw of the year against the league leaders at Docklands. The outcome put a halt to a run of three consecutive losses to pull off a result that will release the pressure on the under-fire club. The day could have ended on an even better note still had a late free-kick decision gone their way, but with a kicking rate of 10.13 for the day, they had ample opportunities to wrap up what would have been a remarkable win.
Prediction - Hawthorn
Adelaide Crows v Gold Coast Suns
A decimated Crows outfit bounced back in fine style to pull off a shock 10-point win over Sydney at the weekend. Captain Taylor Walker answered his critics in the best possible manner as the Grand Finalists get their season back on track following a disappointing loss to Collingwood in Round 4. The Suns broke a two-game losing spell with a welcome victory in the local derby to boost their campaign to 3-2. Their three-month homeless odyssey has yielded a decent return, and they will be relishing a return to home comforts on June 2nd against Geelong.
Prediction – Adelaide Crows
Essendon v Melbourne
Essendon endued a torrid ANZAC day at the hands of arch rivals Collingwood, not only were they soundly beaten by 49 points, but key men Brendan Goddard and David Zaharakis played out an extremely animated exchange of opinion that conveyed the image of a disunited group. With only a four day turnaround to prepare for what could be a pivotal game against fellow strugglers Melbourne, this game could define their season at such a premature stage.The Demons ran out of steam against the Tigers last time out, after appearing to be still in the hunt in the third quarter in which they trailed by just 6 points. It was yet another unsteady performance from Melbourne and they now preside over a 2-3 record this year, although coach Simon Goodwin described the loss as a step forward from the heavy defeat by the Hawks a week earlier.
Prediction – Melbourne
Collingwood v Richmond
Collingwood were the big winners in the annual ANZAC day match-up with Essendon and the 101-52 victory moves the Pies up to fifth on the ladder. The gulf in class was evident between two sides that are in a rebuilding phase and it is Collingwood who look the more likely to make the finals on this evidence.The Tigers top the table after 5 rounds, a position they haven’t occupied in the regular season since 1995. Coach Damien Hardwick has a looming selection headache to solve this week, with Josh Caddy, Nick Vlastuin and Jack Graham all set to return for the showdown with the Pies. With Sam Lloyd, Jack Higgins and Nathan Broad impressing during the win over the Demons, Hardwick is left with some tough decisions to make over the coming days.
Prediction - Richmond
Fremantle v West Coast
Fremantle’s decision to scrap the Ross Glendinning award has turned up the heat ahead of this weekend’s west coast derby as the Dockers seek to put an end to the Eagles’ five-game winning streak in the fixture. The gloss was taken off the Dockers’ excellent win over Bulldogs by the injury to back-up ruckman Matt Taberner that will keep the giant forward out of action for the foreseeable future, with Michael Johnson expected to make his return to the line-up. For the Eagles, Josh Kennedy needs just one goal to beat Peter Sumich’s club record, and Sunday’s clash would be the ideal time to do so. West Coast are hoping to record a sixth straight victory over their cross-town rivals for the first time since 1996-99. Both sides have enjoyed excellent starts to their new home at Optus Stadium, and a record crowd of 58,000 is expected for the first western derby to take place in the new arena.
Prediction - West Coast
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