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AFL Round 7 odds, betting and tips

Posted on 04/05 by T J Dilfer

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AFL Round 7

Geelong v GWS

The Swans continue to hold an Indian Sign over the Cats; their only 3 home defeats in the last 21 have come at the hands of their Sydney opponents. The 86-69 defeat, in which they let a 22-point lead at three-quarter time slip was the kind of capitulation that drains confidence, and they face a GWS side next which is one of the competition’s early frontrunners. A comfortable 34-point win over the Lions ensured they returned to the summit of the ladder, albeit temporarily. Although not at their maximum, they have discovered the ability to grind out results which will stand them in good stead in their pursuit of a finals berth.

Prediction – GWS $1.62

Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast Suns

The Dogs fielded the youngest and least experienced side of the round and came away with their second win of the year courtesy of a 21-point triumph over Carlton on Friday. Not one of the Bulldogs; line-up had 150 games to his name, and the win over their fellow strugglers was a welcome relief following a slow start. After a much-needed win over neighbours Brisbane in Round 5, the Suns have the familiar sinking feeling as a consequence of a 110-62 in Adelaide. David Swallow was their outstanding contributor with 3 goals from 31 disposals in a display that prompted coach Stuart Dew to describe the midfielder as carrying the side during what was a deflating result.

Prediction – Western Bulldogs $1.23

Essendon v Hawthorn

The Bombers’ underwhelming season hit a new low with last round’s defeat to Melbourne – their fourth loss in five matches since round one. Last year’s porous defence, which conceded an average of 92 points per game, has actually gotten worse – averaging 98 points so far in 2018. The expected improvement has failed to materialise, and the necessary rebuild at the club appears to be behind schedule. The Hawks find themselves at 4-2 and sitting in fourth position on the ladder following their 89-54 win over St Kilda. Isaac Smith continued his rich vein of early season form with four goals, although his side struggled to put clear daylight between themselves and the Saints. They face arch-rivals the Bombers this week in what is a crunch match for both teams.

Prediction – Hawthorn $1.62

West Coast v Port Adelaide

Victory in the weekend’s West Coast derby has boosted the Eagles to 5-1 and their promising early season form has been one of the stories of the year so far. This rematch of last year’s elimination final promises to be a cracker with both sides approaching the clash in good recent form. The Power’s 33-point win over North Melbourne was achieved against the backdrop of off-field distractions that in the week leading up to the game at Etihad, a venue that has not traditionally been the happiest hunting ground for them.

Prediction – West Coast $1.77

Sydney Swans v North Melbourne

The Swans accomplished a sensational win over Geelong to extend their superb record at the GMHBA Stadium; they have now won three in a row at the Cattery. The Sydneysiders will take extra comfort from the against the odds win, in which they kicked seven goals to one in the fourth quarter to stun the Cats – a victory achieved without the dual talents of Dan Hannebery or talisman Buddy Franklin. The Kangaroos have surprised a few people this year although they approach this one on the back of a 69-102 loss to the Power. They face a difficult task this week against a Swans side who have won five of the last six contests between the two. The Roos will be looking to Ben Brown to continue his tremendous early season form to cause an upset here.

Prediction – Sydney Swans $1.16

Adelaide Crows v Carlton

The Crows recorded their 11th straight win over the Suns at the weekend but suffered yet another injury blow in the process. Taylor Walker was the latest unfortunate victim of a hamstring curse that is haunting the club; the Crows had six players out of action with the same complaint before this game. Carlton is now presiding over a 0-6 start for the first time in club history; the Blues have never lost six in a row to open the season, even in their wooden spoon campaigns of the 2000s. Stand-in skipper Patrick Cripps was a one-man show during the round 6 loss with 32 disposals, 24 contested possessions and 12 clearances, despite which, the young squad continue to struggle. As they head into a tough run of fixtures, an upset victory may break this losing streak; it is a formidable task this week as they head to South Australia to take on the Crows.

Prediction – Adelaide Crows $1.04

Richmond v Fremantle

Averaging over 105 points per game, the Tigers have been at their free-flowing best so far this year and are currently top of the pile; a win this weekend will represent their best start to a campaign since 1995. The Dockers were edged out in a tense local derby on Sunday. They will be hoping to avoid a repeat of last season’s round 22 match between these two sides; Richmond coasted to victory by a landslide 22 goals to 4 and amassed a 104-point winning margin. A slight advantage may lie with the Dockers who have played 3 games in 16 days, enjoying an extra 3 days downtime compared to their opponents.

Prediction – Richmond $1.14

St Kilda v Melbourne

The Saints’ ills in front of the posts continued on Saturday night, with Tim Membrey’s awful miss the latest example of their struggles. The lowest scoring side in the competition – they have kicked fewer than 10 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches - are also ranked 17th for accuracy, kicking at just 39.8%. They are seeking their second win of the season against a Demons team who are striving for more consistency this year after having narrowly missed the finals in 2017. They are looking for a third consecutive win over St Kilda for the first time since 2002-04 here.

Prediction – Melbourne $1.35

Brisbane Lions v Collingwood

The Lions’ work rate can’t be questioned but demonstrated a chronic lacking an end product during Saturday’s loss to the Giants. Kicking just 1.6 at half-time, it took until 11 minutes into the second quarter before they posted a goal. They have kicked just five first-half goals in the last three games, an impossible platform which to take control of matches, and their winless drought goes on. The Pies went into last week’s match against Richmond basking in the triumph of three consecutive wins, and although they went down by 70-113 to the Champions, their burgeoning reputation remains intact. Leading the match in the third quarter, it wasn’t until the final stages that they finally ran out of gas and allowed the final score to take on a slightly unflattering slant. They should return to winning ways this week.

Prediction – Collingwood $1.38

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