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AFL Round One: Gold Coast $2.45 Outsiders Against Richmond

February 6th, 2014 by TJ Dilfer

You’ll see Gary Ablett’s name around on these boards, and he’ll likely be in contention for a medal or two come the end of the season – have a look here for our view on his Brownlow Medal hopes in 2014 – but as the Gold Coast captain he’s got even more pressure to perform coming his way. There’s a feeling that this year will have to include involvement in the season’s climax for it to be regarded as a success for the Suns, and Ablett has his sights on between 11 and 13 wins in order to get his team there.

He’ll hope that at least a couple of those wins come in the first weeks of the season, in spite of a less-than-ideal draw for the Suns. They face both of last year’s finalists before week six comes around, and they’re $2.45 outsiders in their first game against Richmond. The bookies have it as one of the closer contests of the opening round, though, and they’re giving Richmond $1.53 to take the win. But if Gold Coast can beat those odds, they’ll go forward knowing that they could easily capitalise with wins over Freemantle and Brisbane, and that a trip to the MCG holds fewer fears than once it would have after they beat the Demons there by 10 points last year.

If they can get away to a good start, Gold Coast’s improving squad might make those odds of $67.00 to lift the pennant seem long, but there’s probably more value in backing skipper Ablett’s ambitions to finish in the top 4 at $15.00, while the Suns will be disappointed if they’re outside the top 8: they’re $3.50 to make it, and 1.30 to miss out…

Get all of your Round One odds by following the link, and there’s some Round One tips on offer, too. For your Brownlow Medal odds, follow that link instead!

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