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Who will like it wet at Moonee Valley on Friday?

September 23rd, 2009 by admin

Friday night is race night this week – it’s also group 1 racing, in the shape of the 1200m Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley, where, by all accounts, it’s been chucking it down for about seven days now. Nothing like a track covered in drink to sort the men from the boys.

Yesterday it was rated a dead 5 with the barrier 2m out round the entire circuit after 14.5mm of rainfall in the previous week. More drizzle is expected throughout the rest of this week so it’s fair to say this isn’t likely to change much.

Enough of the forecasting – what does that actually mean for the field? Trainer Greg Eurell is set to have two running in this one – Mic Mac and the older and more experienced Apache Cat.

The statistics show Mic Mac doesn’t mind a dead track – he won on ‘D’ surfaces in the Memsie Stakes and Aure’s Star Handicap. On the other hand, Apache Cat, as far as I can see, has only ever won one race on a dead-rated track – the Blamey Stakes 3U Open back in 2007.

Phelan Ready is also running and needs to do well – he was controversially scratched from the Guineas Prelude at Caulfield on Saturday following a late vet’s call – but seemed fine afterwards. He needs a good run to stay on track to appear in the Caulfield Guineas proper but to date has not claimed a win on a dead-rated track – both his wins so far have come on ‘hard’ and ‘good’.

So, some early clues from cold, hard figures in tiny tables – thanks to Racing and Sports for the history lesson and the fading eyesight. As soon as the online horse racing betting odds come thorough for this one I’ll be all over it like a rash – and an early punt on Mic Mac might be a good move.

I’m afraid I should mention cricket again. After all, the ICC Champions Trophy is off and running today as if you hadn’t had enough from the World Twenty20, The Ashes and the seven-match ODI series with England. In most markets, including Centrebet, Australia are second favourites on about 4.25.

In my view this is a tad deceptive – the squad have been away from home for some five months and have been trying to play at their highest level almost constantly for the whole of that period. It doesn’t take a genius to work out what their energy levels are like – plus they’ve only just turned up in South Africa when most of the other sides have been acclimatising for days now. Ergo 3.25 on favourites South Africa and 5.00 on third favourites India looks more promising.

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